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Sunday, 22 July 2018

Bitcoin Market: Another Dead-Cat Bounce?

 Unknown     July 22, 2018     No comments   

Hi traders, today I'd like to share my opinions regarding the broader market.

f9dfe30f052be67e780e10c980c80737.jpg

Bitcoin.

  • On the daily time frame, Bitcoin looks primed to pop, we're squeezing hard against this low volume area of resistance on decent volume so I wouldn't be surprised if we produced another leg up to to hit $8100 before correcting to $7800 or so:
1.png
... failure to gather enough momentum to break out would probably send us back to retest $7300 over the next couple of days though:
2.png
  • It's on the bigger picture that things are getting interesting:
4.png
  • As you can see on the chart above, we might be in the process of forming a hidden bearish divergence on the weekly chart. If you're unfamiliar with bearish divergences, those are high probability patterns that look like this:
Hidden-Divergence.png
  • The last time we had such divergence this happened:
5.png
... see what I am getting at here?
  • Now, I am not saying that the divergence will form, the price could rally higher than 10k on the announcement of a Bitcoin ETF and completely invalidate the pattern:
6.png
... however I might start to get worried if something like this happens:
7.png
In my humble opinion, this type of price action would be a clear sign that we've reached a local top and that a deep correction is brewing. How big would the correction be? Well, my gut feeling tells me that we could very well come to retest $6000 or even $5700 but, given the market's overall bullish fundamentals, I doubt we would be able to gather enough momentum to break below $5700 and establish a lower floor.
What about you traders, how do you feel about the overall market? Do you think we're headed to break above $10k or do you think a dead-cat bounce is more likely?

TA Discord.jpg
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